Tonight’s NBA slate features a plethora of intriguing player props, offering bettors the chance to capitalize on the individual performances of some of the league’s biggest stars. With several marquee matchups on the horizon, there are ample opportunities to find value in the player prop market. Whether you’re a seasoned NBA bettor or a newcomer to the world of sports wagering, this article will provide you with the insights and analysis you need to make informed decisions on tonight’s best NBA player props.
One of the most highly anticipated matchups of the night pits the Los Angeles Lakers against the Boston Celtics in a battle of two of the league’s most storied franchises. With both teams boasting an array of talented players, there are several player props that stand out as potential value bets. Anthony Davis, the Lakers’ All-Star big man, is averaging over 25 points per game this season and could be a good bet to exceed his scoring prop tonight. On the Celtics’ side, Jayson Tatum has been on a tear lately, averaging over 30 points per game in his last five outings. Tatum’s scoring prop is set at a relatively high number, but he has the potential to surpass it given his recent form.
Another intriguing matchup on tonight’s slate is the clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns. The Bucks are led by two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is always a threat to put up big numbers. Antetokounmpo’s scoring prop is set at a high number, but he has the ability to exceed it with his all-around game. On the Suns’ side, Devin Booker is one of the most dynamic scorers in the league and could be a good bet to surpass his scoring prop tonight. Booker has been averaging over 25 points per game this season and has the potential to erupt for a big performance at any time.
Lethal from Deep: Prop Bets on Elite Three-Point Shooters
Three-point shooting has become an integral part of the modern NBA game. Elite marksmen can single-handedly change the outcome of a contest, and their proficiency from downtown is a coveted skill. For bettors, targeting elite three-point shooters for prop bets can yield lucrative returns.
When evaluating three-point shooters for prop bets, consider factors such as their career averages, recent form, and matchup. Some players are simply more consistent and efficient from beyond the arc than others. Additionally, certain matchups may favor a shooter’s ability to drain threes. For instance, if a player is facing a team with a poor defensive rating or a tendency to allow open looks, their chances of hitting the over on their three-point prop bet increase.
Below, we have compiled a list of some of the most lethal three-point shooters in the NBA, along with their career three-point percentages and recent form:
| Player | Career 3P% | Last 5 Games 3P% |
|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 47.3% | 45.5% |
| Klay Thompson | 41.9% | 45.0% |
| Damian Lillard | 39.1% | 40.7% |
| Buddy Hield | 40.6% | 48.4% |
| Seth Curry | 44.3% | 40.0% |
These players have consistently proven their ability to shoot at an elite level from three-point range. By considering their matchups and recent form, bettors can identify value in their three-point prop bets.
Paint Dominators: Bets on Rebounding Machines
Rebounding is a crucial skill in basketball, as it gives teams second chances to score and limits their opponents’ opportunities. Several players in the NBA are known for their rebounding prowess, and betting on their rebounding totals can be a profitable endeavor.
Top Rebounding Machines
Here are a few of the top rebounders in the NBA today:
| Player | Team | Avg. Rebounds/Game |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic | Chicago Bulls | 11.7 |
| Jonas Valanciunas | New Orleans Pelicans | 11.4 |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | 11.0 |
Assist Masters: Identifying the Best Dishers
Assists are the lifeblood of a successful NBA offense, and the league is home to some of the most gifted passers in the world. When looking for the best player props today, assist masters are always a good place to start. Here are a few things to look for when identifying the best dishers:
Usage Rate
Usage rate is a measure of how often a player touches the ball in a game. The higher the usage rate, the more opportunities a player has to create assists. Some of the top assist leaders in the NBA have usage rates of over 30%, which means they are involved in a significant portion of their team’s offense.
Assist Percentage
Assist percentage is a measure of how often a player makes an assist when they touch the ball. The higher the assist percentage, the more likely a player is to make an assist when they get their hands on the ball. Some of the top assist leaders in the NBA have assist percentages of over 40%, which means they are setting up their teammates for shots at a very high rate.
Player Matchups
Player matchups can also play a role in a player’s assist numbers. Some players are better at creating assists against certain types of defenders. For example, a point guard who is good at driving to the basket may have more success against a slower defender. A point guard who is good at shooting may have more success against a defender who is playing off of them. It is important to consider the matchups when looking for the best assist props today.
| Player | Usage Rate | Assist Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 31.5% | 41.2% |
| James Harden | 32.1% | 39.8% |
| Nikola Jokic | 29.3% | 48.7% |
Defensive Stopper: Props for Elite Defenders
In the NBA, elite defenders can significantly impact a team’s defensive performance. They are often tasked with guarding the opposing team’s primary offensive threats, making game-changing plays, and setting the tone for their team’s defense. Here are some defensive player props to consider when betting on NBA games:
Steals and Blocks
Steals and blocks are two key metrics that measure a player’s defensive prowess. Players with high steal and block rates are often quick, agile, and have a knack for anticipating their opponents’ moves. Some players to consider for these props include:
| Player | Team | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Milwaukee Bucks | 2.5 steals + blocks |
| Draymond Green | Golden State Warriors | 1.5 steals + blocks |
| Rudy Gobert | Utah Jazz | 2.0 blocks |
Rebounds
Rebounding is a crucial aspect of defense, as it prevents the opposing team from getting second-chance points. Players who lead their teams in rebounds are often strong, physical, and have a keen sense of positioning. Consider the following rebound props:
| Player | Team | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vucevic | Chicago Bulls | 12.5 rebounds |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | Minnesota Timberwolves | 10.5 rebounds |
| Domantas Sabonis | Sacramento Kings | 13.5 rebounds |
Sixth Man Surge: Bets on Game-Changing Bench Players
When the starters need a break or a spark, these bench players step up to make a big impact. Sixth Man of the Year is a coveted award, and these players are often the difference-makers in close games or playoff runs.
Assessing the Value
When considering a sixth man prop bet, there are a few key factors to keep in mind: minutes played, usage rate, and efficiency. The more minutes a player plays, the more opportunities they have to contribute. Usage rate measures how often a player is involved in the offense, and a higher usage rate indicates a more significant role in the team’s offensive scheme. Finally, efficiency measures how well a player converts his opportunities into points. A higher field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and/or three-point percentage indicates a more efficient player.
Situational Factors
In addition to individual player stats, it is also important to consider team circumstances when evaluating a sixth man prop bet. For example, a backup point guard may have a higher usage rate if the starting point guard is injured. Similarly, a bench scorer may have a higher scoring average if the team’s superstar is out of commission.
Prop Options
There are a variety of prop bets available for bench players, including points scored, rebounds, assists, and steals. Some prop bets may also include specific player matchups or team performance metrics. When choosing a prop bet, it is important to carefully consider the player’s stats, team circumstances, and the specific prop bet parameters.
Top Players to Consider
Here are a few of the top bench players to consider for prop bets in the 2022-23 NBA season:
| Player | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole | Golden State Warriors | Guard |
| Tyrese Maxey | Philadelphia 76ers | Guard |
| Franz Wagner | Orlando Magic | Forward |
| Kevin Huerter | Sacramento Kings | Guard/Forward |
| Jalen Brunson | New York Knicks | Guard |
Rookie Revelation: Prop Bets on Rising Stars
As the NBA season progresses, keep an eye on these rising stars who are making a significant impact on their teams and the league as a whole. With their impressive performances, they are becoming popular targets for prop bets, offering bettors valuable opportunities to capitalize on their potential.
Paolo Banchero: The Magic’s Rising Star
Paolo Banchero, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2022 NBA Draft, has quickly established himself as a force to be reckoned with. His versatile game and impressive size make him a threat in multiple areas of the court. Consider betting on his points, rebounds, and assists as they are expected to remain consistent throughout the season.
Keegan Murray: Thriving in Sacramento
Keegan Murray, the No. 4 overall pick, has emerged as a key contributor for the Sacramento Kings. His ability to score efficiently and defend effectively makes him a valuable asset. His prop bets, particularly for points and rebounds, present favorable odds as he continues to prove his worth in the NBA.
Jalen Duren: A Defensive Force in Detroit
Jalen Duren, the No. 13 overall pick, has become a defensive force for the Detroit Pistons. His impressive rebounding and shot-blocking abilities make him a formidable presence in the paint. Prop bets on his rebounds and blocks offer attractive value as he consistently delivers in these categories.
Jabari Smith Jr.: Shooting Star for the Rockets
Jabari Smith Jr., the No. 3 overall pick, has showcased his shooting prowess with the Houston Rockets. His ability to knock down shots from beyond the arc makes him a betting favorite for three-pointers made. Consider backing his three-pointers prop bet as he continues to impress as a marksman.
Tari Eason: Defensive Standout for the Rockets
Tari Eason, the No. 17 overall pick, has established himself as a defensive standout for the Houston Rockets. His ability to guard multiple positions and disrupt the opposition makes him a valuable defensive asset. Prop bets on his steals and blocks present promising opportunities for bettors as he showcases his defensive prowess.
Shaedon Sharpe: Blazing a Trail with the Blazers
Shaedon Sharpe, the No. 7 overall pick, has shown glimpses of his potential with the Portland Trail Blazers. His scoring prowess and athleticism make him a player to watch. While his prop bets may come with higher odds due to his inconsistent playing time, betting on his points or assists could yield significant returns if he continues to impress.
Over/Under Points Extravaganza: Predicting Scoring Outputs
Over/Under Points Extravaganza: Predicting Scoring Outputs
In the wild and wide world of basketball, where skill and athleticism collide, there lives a gambler’s playground: NBA player props. These side bets offer the chance to predict individual player performance, injecting an extra dose of excitement into the game. One tantalizing aspect of player props is the over/under point total, where you wager on whether a player will score above or below a set number of points. Predicting scoring outputs requires a keen eye for statistical trends, matchup analysis, and a touch of intuition. Let’s dive into some strategies to conquer the over/under point extravaganza:
Recent Form
Recent performances provide invaluable insights into a player’s current scoring prowess. Examine box scores, pay attention to shooting percentages, and note any recent injuries or lineup changes that may affect their production.
Matchup Analysis
The opponent’s defense plays a crucial role in determining a player’s scoring potential. Study their defensive schemes, key defensive players, and recent performances against similar opponents. Matchups against weaker defensive teams or matchups where the player has a history of success can increase the likelihood of an over.
Usage Rate
Usage rate measures the percentage of possessions a player uses while on the court. A high usage rate indicates that the player is heavily involved in the offense, increasing their chances of accumulating points.
Pace of Play
The pace of the game can significantly impact scoring outputs. Fast-paced games generally lead to higher scoring totals, so consider the tempo of the matchup and the typical pace of both teams involved.
Lineup Changes
Lineup changes can disrupt a player’s scoring rhythm. If a player is moved to a different position or their role changes, their scoring potential may be affected. Stay informed about any lineup changes that could impact your prop bet.
Injury Report
Injuries can drastically alter a player’s availability and effectiveness. Always check the injury report before placing a bet, as any significant injury may lower their chances of reaching their projected point total.
Player Props Table
| Player | Over/Under | Recent PPG | Matchup Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić | 33.5 | 35.1 | Los Angeles Lakers |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 30.5 | 31.8 | Toronto Raptors |
| Joel Embiid | 32.5 | 33.6 | Cleveland Cavaliers |
Double-Double Delight: Bets on Versatile Performers
In the realm of basketball, a double-double is a coveted statistical achievement where a player records double-digit figures in two of the game’s main categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. Betting on players to achieve double-doubles can offer lucrative returns, especially when targeting versatile performers who can impact the game in multiple ways.
Points and Rebounds
Point guards and forwards are often the best candidates for points and rebounds double-doubles. Point guards with strong rebounding skills, like LeBron James or Nikola Jokic, can accumulate assists and rebounds while also scoring the ball. Forwards with quick instincts and size, like Giannis Antetokounmpo or Jayson Tatum, can crash the boards and provide scoring punch.
Points and Assists
This is a common double-double for point guards, who often orchestrate their team’s offense. Players like Stephen Curry, Luka Doncic, and Chris Paul are known for their exceptional passing abilities and scoring prowess.
Points and Blocks
This is a double-double more likely to be achieved by long and athletic centers or power forwards. Anthony Davis, Joel Embiid, and Rudy Gobert are examples of players who can combine scoring with rim protection.
Rebounds and Assists
This double-double is often seen in versatile big men who can control the paint. Nikola Jokic and Karl-Anthony Towns are prime examples, as they can rebound effectively and create scoring chances for teammates.
Rebounds and Blocks
This double-double is a testament to a player’s defensive dominance. Centers like Rudy Gobert, Brook Lopez, and DeAndre Jordan are known for their rebounding prowess and ability to swat away shots.
Assists and Steals
This double-double is common among elite point guards who can both create offense and disrupt opponents’ plays. Chris Paul, Ricky Rubio, and Tyus Jones are examples of players who excel in this category.
Points, Rebounds, and Assists
This is the most prestigious double-double, as it requires a player to excel in all three major statistical categories. LeBron James, Luka Doncic, and Nikola Jokic are some of the rare players who can consistently achieve this feat.
Points, Rebounds, Assists, and Steals
This is the ultimate double-double, showcasing a player’s all-around dominance. Rare but not impossible, this feat requires incredible skill, versatility, and athleticism.
Triple-Threat Terror: Prop Bets on All-Around Stars
When it comes to NBA prop bets, there’s no shortage of options. But if you’re looking for the best value, you’ll want to target players who can fill up the stat sheet in multiple ways. These are the guys who can score, rebound, and assist at a high level, and they’re the ones who are most likely to help you cash in on your prop bets.
9. Points, Rebounds, and Assists (PRA) Props
PRA props are a great way to bet on players who can do it all. These props typically involve betting on a player to reach a certain total in points, rebounds, and assists combined. For example, you might bet on Luka Doncic to record a PRA of 50 or more. To evaluate PRA props, you’ll want to look at a player’s recent performance, as well as their matchup.
Here is a table of some of the best PRA props for today’s NBA games:
| Player | Team | Opponent | PRA Prop | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | Mavericks | Spurs | PRA over 50 | -110 |
| Nikola Jokic | Nuggets | Warriors | PRA over 55 | -120 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | Bucks | Nets | PRA over 60 | -130 |
Player Comparisons: Head-to-Head Prop Bets
Scoring Prop Bets
Compare two star shooters. One may have a lower total points prop than the other due to an expected slow pace or tough matchup, but if he has a higher made three-pointers prop, that could be a good sign he’s expecting to go off from deep.
Rebounding Prop Bets
If two centers have similar rebounding props, check their recent rebounding numbers. One may have been facing easier matchups and the other tougher matchups. Consider the opponent’s rebounding tendencies as well.
Assists Prop Bets
Assists are often matchup-dependent, so compare the team’s assist leaders against the defenses they’re facing. One point guard may have a higher assist prop than another, but if he’s facing a team that allows the fewest assists in the league, it may be worth fading that prop.
Blocks Prop Bets
Blocks can be tough to predict, but matchups can provide some insight. One center may have a higher blocks prop than another, but if he’s facing a team that shoots a lot of threes or has a poor free-throw shooting percentage, it may be worth betting the under on his blocks prop.
Steals Prop Bets
Again, it all depends on the opponent’s tendencies. A player may have the reputation as a defensive stalwart, but there are increasing numbers of players who can put up gaudy steal numbers due to their opponent having a high turnover rate.
Minutes Prop Bets
Playing time can be unpredictable, but recent trends and injuries can provide some insight. If a player has been playing heavy minutes lately and has been productive, it’s a good sign his minutes prop will be high.
Double-Doubles Prop Bets
Double-doubles are tough to predict, but if a player has been consistently putting up double-doubles lately, it’s a good sign he’ll have a good chance of hitting his double-double prop.
Triple-Doubles Prop Bets
Triple-doubles are even tougher to predict than double-doubles, but if a player has been putting up triple-doubles lately, it’s a good sign he’ll have a good chance of hitting his triple-double prop.
Other Prop Bets
There are a number of other player prop bets available, such as points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, and minutes. The best way to approach these props is to research the player’s recent performance and the matchup he’s facing.
| Prop Bet | Factors to Consider |
|---|---|
| Scoring | Pace of play, matchup, player’s recent performance |
| Rebounding | Matchup, player’s recent performance, team’s rebounding tendencies |
| Assists | Matchup, player’s recent performance, team’s assist leaders |
| Blocks | Matchup, player’s recent performance, opponent’s shooting tendencies |
| Steals | Matchup, player’s recent performance, opponent’s turnover rate |
| Minutes | Player’s recent performance, injuries, team’s rotation |
| Double-Doubles | Player’s recent performance, matchup, player’s recent performance |
| Triple-Doubles | Player’s recent performance, matchup, player’s recent performance |
Best NBA Player Props Today
With the NBA season in full swing, there are plenty of player props to choose from. Here are a few of the best options for today’s games:
- Giannis Antetokounmpo over 33.5 points (-110): The reigning MVP is averaging 31.5 points per game this season and has scored at least 34 points in four of his last five games. He should be able to get over this number against a weak Washington Wizards defense.
- Stephen Curry over 29.5 points (-115): The Warriors’ star is averaging 29.9 points per game this season and has scored at least 30 points in five of his last six games. He should be able to get over this number against a Denver Nuggets defense that has been struggling lately.
- Joel Embiid over 28.5 rebounds (-105): The Philadelphia 76ers’ center is averaging 10.2 rebounds per game this season and has grabbed at least 11 rebounds in each of his last three games. He should be able to get over this number against a Toronto Raptors defense that has been giving up a lot of rebounds lately.
People Also Ask
What is a player prop?
A player prop is a bet on a specific player’s performance in a game. This can include bets on how many points they will score, how many rebounds they will grab, or how many assists they will dish out.
How do I choose the best player props?
There are a few factors to consider when choosing the best player props. First, you need to look at the player’s recent performance. Are they playing well? Are they getting a lot of minutes? Second, you need to look at the matchup. Are they playing against a tough opponent? Are they playing at home or on the road? Finally, you need to consider the odds. Are the odds too high or too low? You want to find odds that give you a good value.
What are some of the most popular player props?
Some of the most popular player props include:
- Points per game
- Rebounds per game
- Assists per game
- Double-doubles
- Triple-doubles
